Posted by
on Wednesday, June 06, 2007 12:06:25 AM
In my last post, I wrote that our elected representatives create blatant loopholes within payment limits to
cater to a small number of individuals. I also wrote that the majority
of rural Americans - and farmers - want strict payment limits of the
type embodied in the Dorgan-Grassley bill. And to speak the language of
political junkies and policy wonks everywhere, there are polls to prove
it.
In 2005, a Kellogg Foundation-sponsored poll conducted in Iowa, Kansas
and Minnesota found clear preferences for a strict $250,000 cap on farm
program payments, which is the proposed cap in the Dorgan-Grassley bill
reintroduced two weeks ago. All three states are considered farm states,
and both farmers and non-farmers were surveyed. You can find the poll
here. A quote from the poll summary:
[By] more than a two-to-one margin (67 percent to 31 percent)
voters in these states support limiting direct payments to single farms
to no more than $250,000. Interestingly, support is higher among farm
income households and Republicans than among voters as a
whole.
Since farm income households
certainly understand farm programs and their impact, one might assume
that their higher support for strict subsidy limits is significant. Not
only do voters in these states support strict payment limits, they are
willing to take that policy preference into the voting booth:
a majority of voters in each state describe themselves as more likely to
support a member who supports limiting direct payments to single farms
to no more than $250,000 and at least a third describe themselves as
"much more likely" to support such a member.
Going further, voters in these three states strongly endorse programs
that create rural jobs, conservation programs, and nutrition programs.
See the first poll chart below the fold:
But what if you survey farmers only? And shouldn't more states
be surveyed, including the South, the supposed home of vast enthusiasm
for unlimited farm program checks?
Every time a farm bill rolls around, the Farm Foundation surveys
agricultural producers in multiple states. This time they surveyed over
15,000 farmers and ranchers in 27 states, and they group results by
state and region.
In Iowa, currently a politically key state, you find the following:
On a scale of 1-5, with 5 representing the strongest support,
Iowa producers ranked "targeting support to small farms" at 3.94 and
"Eliminate the Three-Entity Rule" (a key loophole in payment limits ) at
4.12 - both significantly higher than support for the payments
themselves. Iowa producers ranked the importance of direct
payments at 3.47, counter cyclical payments at 3.65 and loan deficiency
payments at 3.75.
And while the Southern cotton and rice interests supposedly favor the
glaring loopholes necessary for enormous subsidy checks, we can actually
see this isn't true. For the entire Southern region surveyed (Alabama,
Texas, North Carolina, Georgia, Florida) there is substantial support
for eliminating the three-entity rule and eliminating unlimited
commodity loan gains-two of the most-abused loopholes in farm program
payment limits.
You can find the
whole poll here (2MB PDF). It is a fascinating look at farmers and
ranchers' preferences. To be objective, I should say some of the
positions that the Center for Rural Affairs advocates are not viewed so
favorably. But the consensus is clear on farm subsidy programs- close
the loopholes and enforce a strict payment limit.
In fact, there is such a clear consensus that one wonders why you don't
hear more of our elected representatives shouting from the rooftops for
strict payment limits. Clearly this is an issue that both Republicans
and Democrats agree on, and there is substantial political gold to be
mined here. Moreover, when I look at these polls, I expect that all
rural elected officials will respect the clear wishes of their
constituents - or pay the price.
Not only that, but when I hear all this talk from both parties about how
"we need to keep the big subsidies flowing so we can keep the rural
vote," I want to scream. Yes, farm programs play an important role and
they should not face wholesale elimination. And yes, rural voters and
farmers understand that importance and will punish any representative
who votes to simply cut or eliminate farm programs in a way that hurts
all of rural America. But if anyone says that voting for payment limits
will mean an election loss in the future, they are wrong.
Rural people
understand better than anyone that we need reform, and payment limits is
the place to start. Moreover, they understand that we should take the
money saved and put it into rural development, conservation, value-added
agriculture, and other programs that will create a future for all of
rural America.
Maybe most importantly, they don't particularly care what party that
elected official is from.
To put it simply, a significant number of the districts that changed
party affiliation in the last election were rural districts. Issues that
have a nearly 3 to 1 favorability among likely voters - Democrats and
Republicans, farmers and non-farmers - are too important to be ignored.
Regardless of party affiliation, incumbents and challengers that seize
upon issues such as payment limits will find there is a lot of political
hay to be made while the sun shines. The importance of this issue in
Iowa and the importance of Iowa in the Presidential nomination and
election process could make this an issue in the 2008 Presidential
campaign as well, helping separate the wheat from the chaff, as it were.
Beyond the polls, the broader point is the lack of leadership
surrounding the issue of payment limits, and issues of rural social
and economic justice. Even among those who vote for payment limits, only
a small number of politicians are willing to actually be public leaders
on the issue. As you might guess, chief among that group is Senator
Grassley of Iowa and Senator Dorgan of North Dakota. Not long ago, and
not surprisingly, you could count Senator Wellstone of Minnesota as one
of those leaders as well. To balance out the party affiliations
mentioned here, add Senator Lugar of Indiana to the list. There are not
many more. But I cannot emphasize enough that the payment limits issue
is not a partisan one, and the lack of leadership has been exhibited in
both parties.
That lack of leadership extends beyond the halls of Congress and into
the countryside during campaign seasons. There is a clear opportunity
for currently elected officials and future candidates to embrace these
issues. And they would win. Unfortunately, too many members of Congress
view a strict payment limit and other fundamental structural issues in
agriculture with great trepidation. A few have become comfortable with
the lobby that advocates for unlimited commodity program payments to the
nation's largest farms - the Cotton Council, Rice Federation and the
other usual suspects. Naively or opportunistically, many more have
accepted the conventional wisdom that more federal money to farmers is
the way to win in rural districts, irrespective of how the distribution
of that money impacts the people and communities it is rhetorically
positioned to help.
Rural people and farmers understand payment limits. They understand that
it is better to invest scarce budget dollars in rural development,
conservation, and new agricultural opportunities instead of sending out
enormous subsidy checks. They understand the principles of fair and just
farm programs. And they would vote for candidates who articulated those
principles and, more importantly, a candidate who strongly supported
policies that reflected those principles.